deciqai 发布的技能

在多条竞争解释中,按"无证据支撑的假设数"排序,而不是按字数或叙述的简洁感。

从失败结果倒推具体风险路径，按发生概率与影响排序，并为关键风险配置应对动作和明确的退出条件。

沿决策的明显效果向后追问，揪出会逆转第一级结论的下游连锁反应。

通过叠加用户所言、所做、所想三层证据，定位行为差距背后的因果驱动因素。

把复杂问题拆成不重叠、无遗漏的子组,并定位最承重的那一支。

诊断团队为什么产生失调行为，并设计让正确行为成为理性选择的激励结构。

在按"大家都在做"下决定之前，帮你判断这条共识究竟是真实信号，还是被制造出来的从众压力。

在下注之前，先指明什么证据会推翻这个声明。

识别从幸存者样本中归纳出的结论，并用缺失的非幸存者数据重新评估其强度。

把被忽略的反证摆到桌面，给决策装上结构性的"防自证"检查。

看清每个选择的真实成本：你放弃的次优替代方案的价值，包括非财务成本。

定位个人成长真正受限的那一条维度,开出 90 天可执行处方。

一套引导式流程,帮团队从客户价值中挑出最能预测收入的那一个指标,并通过反向激励压力测试和时滞相关性加以验证。

用十阶段螺旋模型诊断组织当前所处的战略阶段，并标记与阶段不匹配的举措。

识别"用力过猛"的卡点，按六步流程找到顺势而为的最小动作。

诊断共享资源过度使用问题，并按奥斯特罗姆 8 条原则设计自我治理修复方案。

锁定制约系统产出的单一瓶颈，并按五步聚焦法给出可执行的消除路径。

Activate when: user says 'customers aren't switching to us even though we're better,' 'our churn surveys aren't predicting who actually leaves,' 'we're debat...

Activate when: someone says 'this is too much to take in at once', 'learners aren't getting it despite good material', 'our onboarding is overwhelming new hi...

Activate when: user says 'where should we grow next', 'should we enter a new market', 'thinking about diversifying', 'new product vs new market', 'growth str...

Detect and mitigate undue influence from positional authority when expertise on the specific question is unverified or reasoning lacks independent support.

Activate when: user says 'walk-away point', 'reservation price', 'should I take this deal', 'what's my leverage', 'they won't budge', or any salary/term-shee...

Activate when: user says 'should I enter this market / make this hire / invest in this domain,' 'am I qualified to evaluate this,' 'stay in your lane,' 'stic...

Activate when: user says 'I want to improve my thinking,' 'why does my decision-making keep failing,' 'how do I optimize my cognitive performance,' 'what's t...

Activate when: user says "foot in the door," "I already committed so I have to follow through," "how do I design onboarding / a sales sequence / a commitment...

Activate when: 'our best practices keep failing', 'experts disagree on the right answer', 'the old playbook isn't working', 'we're in crisis and don't know w...

Activate when: user says 'I've been doing this for years but I'm not getting better'; someone suspects a skill plateau despite continued effort; designing a...

Activate when: user says "we keep overshooting/undershooting", "the cure is causing the disease", "we're stuck in a loop", "why does this keep happening?", "...

Activate when: user says 'nudge,' 'default,' 'opt-in vs opt-out,' 'choice architecture,' or 'why do people know they should but don't?'; user has a behavior...

Activate when: someone says 'they don't believe we'll follow through', 'how do I make my threat credible?', 'how do we deter a competitor from entering?', 'w...

Activate when: 'we need a breakthrough idea', 'everything in our industry looks the same', 'we've exhausted all options in our field', 'how do we innovate in...

Activate when: user says 'this can't happen,' 'never happened in N years,' 'our models say it's near-zero'; user is stress-testing a strategy or portfolio ag...

Activate when: user says 'we're losing market share,' 'our growth keeps slowing and I don't know why,' 'a competitor is gaining on us fast,' 'what's the wors...

Activate when: 'we have a strong product but keep losing on price', 'customers treat us like a commodity', 'how do we stop being compared to competitors', 'w...

Activate when: seller is asking way more than buyers will pay; a founder or homeowner insists their asset is worth far more than market comps; a team refuses...

Activate when: someone says 'they're just like that,' an employee is being blamed for underperformance without examining their situation, a post-mortem is fo...

Activate when: someone says 'I don't want to lose what I have', a deal is stuck because a concession feels like a loss, a pricing or incentive change gets un...

Activate when: user says "portfolio review," "cash cow," "Stars and Dogs," "growth-share matrix," "which business should we fund," or "resource allocation ac...

Activate when: user asks 'how do we stop competing on price?', 'what new market can we create?', 'is there a way to differentiate and cut costs at the same t...

Activate when: someone says 'let's just remove this', 'why do we still have this rule?', 'this seems useless/outdated', 'nobody knows why this is here', new...

Activate when: user asks about starting early vs. later for savings/investing, wonders if small consistent gains add up, wants to know how long to double mon...

Activate when: user says 'help me choose between two options with different risks', 'I need to map out what could happen if we go with X', 'we have a sequent...

Activate when: user says 'I can never find time for focused work', 'I feel busy but produce nothing', 'I keep getting interrupted', 'I want to protect my foc...

Activate when: a decision feels obvious but the stakes are high; someone says 'I just trust my gut' on a consequential call; a team is converging fast withou...

Activate when: team headcount is approaching or crossing 150 (or 50, or 500); someone says "coordination is getting harder," "we lost the startup feel," or "...

Activate when: user says 'explain this simply', 'teach me like I'm five', 'do I really understand this', 'what's the simplest way to think about X', 'what's...

Activate when: user asks 'should we move first or wait?', 'is it too late to enter this market?', 'how long can they hold their lead?', 'what makes the first...

Activate when: our KPI is going up but the real outcome isn't improving; people seem to be gaming the metric; we're about to tie bonuses or promotions to a n...